Central Problem

The chapter addresses the fundamental problem of political renewal in the Renaissance: how should states be founded, preserved, and governed? This question divides into two distinct approaches: political realism, which focuses on the effective truth of political action based on historical experience, and natural law theory (giusnaturalismo), which seeks to clarify the permanent, rational nature of the state in order to bring existing political communities into conformity with it.

The tension between fortune and human freedom constitutes the underlying philosophical problem for the realists. Can human action shape political events, or are we at the mercy of blind chance? Machiavelli and Guicciardini grapple with this question, seeking to define the scope and limits of political agency in an unstable world.

For the natural law theorists, the central problem is different: what rational and universal principles should govern political life? How can positive laws be grounded in something more fundamental than mere convention or force? This leads to questions about the source of political legitimacy, the nature of sovereignty, and the possibility of religious tolerance based on a common rational foundation.

Main Thesis

The chapter presents two contrasting but complementary approaches to political thought:

Political Realism: Machiavelli argues that political action must be grounded in “effective truth” (verità effettuale) rather than imaginary ideals. The prince must learn “how not to be good” and use this knowledge according to necessity. Political morality is immanent — it does not always coincide with private morality. Fortune governs half of human actions, but virtue (orderly preparation) can make the human half decisive. The key to political renewal lies in “returning to origins” — drawing lessons from the past (especially republican Rome) to guide future action.

Guicciardini takes a more individualistic and skeptical view: fortune is pure chance without providential order. While active engagement remains necessary, success cannot be guaranteed. The politician must balance severity with gentleness, and appearance with genuine moral substance — for “false opinions do not last.”

Botero develops the concept of “reason of state” (ragion di Stato) but integrates moral and religious requirements: virtue in the prince produces obedience in subjects, and prudence must guide all deliberations.

Natural Law Theory: More‘s Utopia imagines a state conforming to reason: abolition of private property, religious tolerance, six-hour workdays, and solidarity based on the natural principle of pleasure. Bodin defines sovereignty as one, indivisible, perpetual, and absolute — yet limited by divine and natural law. Grotius provides the definitive formulation: natural law is founded on human rationality itself, and would be valid “even if God did not exist.” The state originates in a social contract, but the sovereign must respect those rational, universal, and immutable principles grounded in human sociability.

Historical Context

The Renaissance political thinkers wrote against the backdrop of Italian fragmentation, foreign invasions, and the collapse of medieval political order. Machiavelli (1469-1527) experienced directly the fall of the Florentine Republic and wrote The Prince (1513) and the Discourses (1513-1519) from political exile, hoping to contribute to Italian unification.

The religious wars following the Protestant Reformation intensified debates about sovereignty, tolerance, and the relationship between political and religious authority. Bodin wrote his Six Books of the Republic in the context of French civil wars between Catholics and Huguenots. The question of religious tolerance became urgent as confessional conflict threatened social order.

More (1478-1535) wrote Utopia (1516) while criticizing the social conditions of Tudor England, where enclosure movements were driving peasants from their lands. His execution for opposing Henry VIII’s divorce demonstrated the dangerous intersection of conscience and political power.

Grotius (1583-1645) wrote On the Law of War and Peace (1625) during the Thirty Years’ War, seeking rational foundations for international law that could transcend confessional divisions. His work represents the emergence of a secular conception of natural law independent of theological foundations.

Philosophical Lineage

flowchart TD
    Rome-Republic --> Machiavelli
    Machiavelli --> Guicciardini
    Machiavelli --> Botero
    Stoics --> Grotius
    Aquinas --> Grotius
    More --> Bodin
    Bodin --> Althusius
    Bodin --> Grotius
    Althusius --> Rousseau
    Grotius --> Enlightenment
    Gentili --> Grotius

    class Rome-Republic,Machiavelli,Guicciardini,Botero,Stoics,Aquinas,More,Bodin,Althusius,Grotius,Rousseau,Enlightenment,Gentili internal-link;

Key Thinkers

ThinkerDatesMovementMain WorkCore Concept
Machiavelli1469-1527Political RealismThe PrinceEffective truth, virtue vs. fortune
Guicciardini1483-1540Political RealismRicordiParticular interest, fortune as chance
Botero1544-1617Counter-ReformationOn the Reason of StateReason of state with morality
More1478-1535Utopian ThoughtUtopiaRational state, abolition of property
Bodin1529-1596Natural Law TheorySix Books of the RepublicAbsolute sovereignty
Gentili1552-1608Natural Law TheoryDe iure belliJust war, defensive only
Althusius1557-1638Social Contract TheoryPolitical worksPopular sovereignty
Grotius1583-1645Natural Law TheoryDe iure belli ac pacisRational natural law

Key Concepts

ConceptDefinitionRelated to
Effective truth (verità effettuale)Political reality as it actually is, not as imagined in ideal republicsMachiavelli, Political Realism
FortuneThe unpredictable dimension of events; governs half of human actionsMachiavelli, Guicciardini
Virtue (virtù)Political capacity and preparedness that can resist fortuneMachiavelli, Political Realism
Return to originsRenewal of communities through recovery of original principlesMachiavelli, Republicanism
Reason of state (ragion di Stato)Knowledge of means to found, preserve, and expand dominionBotero, Machiavelli
SovereigntySupreme power: one, indivisible, perpetual, absolute — yet bound by natural lawBodin, Natural Law Theory
Natural lawRational principles valid independently of positive law, even without GodGrotius, Natural Law Theory
Social contractOriginal pact between people and sovereign legitimizing political powerAlthusius, Grotius
Popular sovereigntySovereignty belongs to the people, who delegate it to governorsAlthusius, Social Contract Theory
Religious toleranceCoexistence of religions based on common rational foundationMore, Bodin, Grotius

Authors Comparison

ThemeMachiavelliGuicciardiniGrotius
Central focusItalian unification, republican virtuePersonal interest (particulare)Universal rational principles
Human naturePresume all men are badNaturally inclined to good but fragileNaturally sociable and rational
FortuneHalf of actions; can be resisted with virtuePure chance, no providenceNot central; reason governs law
Morality in politicsImmanent; may differ from private moralityAppearance must become substanceNatural law obligates even sovereigns
MethodHistorical-empiricalExperiential, skepticalRational-deductive
ReligionUseful for civic virtueNot centralNatural religion based on reason
State originHistorical necessitySocial contract
WarTool of political renewalJust only if defensive; natural law applies

Influences & Connections

Summary Formulas

  • Machiavelli: Political action must follow effective truth, not ideal fantasies; the prince must learn “how not to be good” and use it according to necessity, while virtue can make the human half of fortune decisive.
  • Guicciardini: Fortune is pure chance; active engagement is necessary but success cannot be guaranteed; the politician must have genuine moral substance since “false opinions do not last.”
  • Botero: Reason of state requires the excellence of virtue in the prince, for the foundation of the state lies in the obedience of subjects, which virtue alone can inspire.
  • More: A rational state requires abolition of private property, religious tolerance, and solidarity founded on the natural principle of pleasure.
  • Bodin: Sovereignty is one, indivisible, perpetual, and absolute — yet must conform to divine and natural law, which distinguishes legitimate power from mere force.
  • Grotius: Natural law is founded on human rationality and would be valid even if God did not exist; the state originates in a social contract but must respect rational, universal principles.

Timeline

YearEvent
1513Machiavelli writes The Prince
1513-1519Machiavelli writes Discourses on Livy
1516More publishes Utopia
1532Machiavelli’s Prince published posthumously
1535More executed for opposing Henry VIII
1576Bodin publishes Six Books of the Republic
1589Botero publishes On the Reason of State
1598Gentili publishes De iure belli
1625Grotius publishes De iure belli ac pacis

Notable Quotes

“A prince must learn how not to be good, and use this knowledge or not according to necessity.” — Machiavelli

“Do everything to appear good, for this serves infinite purposes; but since false opinions do not last, you will hardly succeed in appearing good for long if you are not truly so.” — Guicciardini

“He who has faith achieves great things.” — Guicciardini


NOTE

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